The 28.5% Signal: How Prediction Markets Are Pricing the Silence Between Washington and Tehran
Tracing the silent currents beneath the market, I found myself staring at a...
Culture
•
0xAnsem
•
2026-07-21
Market Prices
| Coin | Price | 24h |
|---|---|---|
|
BTC
Bitcoin
|
$66,445.9 | +1.59% |
|
ETH
Ethereum
|
$1,924.98 | +1.02% |
|
SOL
Solana
|
$78.01 | +0.03% |
|
BNB
BNB Chain
|
$573.5 | +0.12% |
|
XRP
XRP Ledger
|
$1.15 | +3.02% |
|
DOGE
Dogecoin
|
$0.0736 | +1.74% |
|
ADA
Cardano
|
$0.1737 | +2.60% |
|
AVAX
Avalanche
|
$6.59 | -0.12% |
|
DOT
Polkadot
|
$0.8519 | +2.75% |
|
LINK
Chainlink
|
$8.63 | +0.59% |
Fear & Greed
25
Extreme Fear
Market Sentiment
Event Calendar
202610
05
upgrade
Ethereum Pectra Upgrade
Raises validator limit and account abstraction
18
03
unlock
Sui Token Unlock
Team and early investor shares released
28
03
unlock
Arbitrum Token Unlock
92 million ARB released
12
05
halving
BCH Halving
Block reward halving event
22
03
unlock
Optimism Unlock
Circulating supply increases by about 2%
30
04
upgrade
Celestia Mainnet Upgrade
Improves data availability sampling efficiency
08
04
upgrade
Solana Firedancer
Independent validator client goes live on mainnet
15
04
halving
Bitcoin Halving
Block reward reduced to 3.125 BTC
Altseason Index
43
Bitcoin Season
BTC Dominance
Altseason
Gas Tracker
Ethereum
28 Gwei
BNB Chain
3 Gwei
Polygon
42 Gwei
Arbitrum
0.5 Gwei
Optimism
0.3 Gwei
Trend Tags
Market Cap
All →
1
Bitcoin
BTC
$66,445.9
1
Ethereum
ETH
$1,924.98
1
Solana
SOL
$78.01
1
BNB Chain
BNB
$573.5
1
XRP Ledger
XRP
$1.15
1
Dogecoin
DOGE
$0.0736
1
Cardano
ADA
$0.1737
1
Avalanche
AVAX
$6.59
1
Polkadot
DOT
$0.8519
1
Chainlink
LINK
$8.63
🐋 Whale Tracker
🟢
0x9eb0...d646
30m ago
In
2,835,592 USDT
🟢
0x5f9c...249e
12m ago
In
30,066 BNB
🔴
0x82a6...1813
5m ago
Out
570,602 DOGE
💡 Smart Money
0xa222...b46a
Early Investor
+$2.1M
93%
0x6791...6a0c
Top DeFi Miner
+$1.4M
77%
0x0c0e...7536
Arbitrage Bot
-$2.6M
66%
#polymarket
polymarket related articles
Kharg Island at 2.2 Cents: The Prediction Market That's Pricing in a Ghost
As of 14:00 UTC, the contract says 2.2 cents. That's the price of a YES token...
Academy
•
0xBen
•
2026-07-21
The 2.4T Mirage: How a Fake AI Model Exposes Crypto’s Prediction Market Trap
Hook A single number: 0.4%. That is the Polymarket probability assigned to...
Bitcoin
•
RayWolf
•
2026-07-21
The Geometry of Prediction: What the World Cup Market Taught Us About Trust and Intent
Geometry remembers what markets forget. In the quiet aftermath of the World C...
Academy
•
Ansemtoshi
•
2026-07-21
Polymarket Flashes 58%: The Geopolitical Edge in Your Next Crypto Trade
At 3:17 AM Mexico City time, my phone buzzed with a single alert: the...
Culture
•
0xZoe
•
2026-07-20
Don't Trust the 74%: What Polymarket's Bitcoin Price Prediction Really Tells Us
Polymarket says there's a 74% chance Bitcoin hits $70,000 by year-end. 34% fo...
Bitcoin
•
0xNeo
•
2026-07-20
IRGC Hospital Raid Gets Priced at 25.5% — Prediction Markets Are Faster Than State Media
Speed is the only currency that doesn't inflate. A Polymarket contract just...
Price Analysis
•
CryptoWolf
•
2026-07-20
The 11.5% Signal: How Polymarket Predicted Geopolitical Risk Before the Headlines
Hook A single data point: 11.5%. That is the probability assigned by...
People
•
CryptoCobie
•
2026-07-18
Pascal's $9M Series A: The Institutional Prediction Market Mirage
Hook Over the past seven days, the crypto news cycle has been dominated by a...
Directory
•
CryptoFox
•
2026-07-17
The Polymarket Paradox: When Event-Driven Liquidity Masks Systemic Fragility
Over the past three months, Polymarket processed an estimated $450 million in...
Trends
•
PompEagle
•
2026-07-12
Polymarket's FCM Gambit: The License That Might Decentralize the Chain
The application was filed on July 3, 2025. The market didn't react. No price...
Business
•
ChainCat
•
2026-07-11
Michael Burry Bets Against Crypto Prediction Markets: The Structural Hedge
Hook: The Signal in the 13F On November 14, 2024, Michael Burry’s latest 13F...
NFT
•
Leotoshi
•
2026-07-11
How a 3-0 Sweep in League of Legends MSI Triggered a $4.2M On-Chain Liquidity Cascade
At 5:42 PM KST on May 21, Hanwha Life Esports delivered a merciless 3-0...
Exchanges
•
BitBlock
•
2026-07-06
The World Cup Mirage: 56 Billion in Prediction Market Volume Hides a Centralized Reality
World Cup 2025 just ended one of its group-stage weekends. Across three...
Trends
•
CryptoKai
•
2026-07-06
Whales Circled Mbappé's Fury: On-Chain Data Reveals Insider Positioning Before World Cup 2026 Drama
Leverage kills. Minutes after Kylian Mbappé publicly accused Paraguay of "dir...
NFT
•
0xIvy
•
2026-07-06
The Oracle of Chaos: How Esports Prediction Markets Are Exposing the Liquidity Hunger of Crypto
Hook While the crowd roared for Hanwha Life Esports’ ruthless stomp of G2 at...
Price Analysis
•
CryptoEagle
•
2026-07-06